Thursday, November 10, 2011

Roubini: Italy's Days in Eurozone May Be Numbered

Nouriel Roubini : "Given that it is too-big-to-fail but also too-big-to-save, this could lead to a forced restructuring of its public debt,"

Read more on Roubini: Italy's Days in Eurozone May Be Numbered Important: Do You Support Pres. Obama's Re-Election? Vote Here Now! "That would partially address its 'stock' problem of large and unsustainable debt but it would not resolve its 'flow' problem, a large current account deficit, lack of external competitiveness and a worsening plunge in gross domestic product and economic activity."

"To resolve the latter, Italy may, like other periphery countries, need to exit the monetary union and go back to a national currency, thus triggering an effective break-up of the eurozone."

"Even a restructuring of the debt – that will cause significant damage and losses to creditors in Italy and abroad – will not restore growth and competitiveness...if you cannot devalue, or grow, or deflate to a real depreciation, the only option left will end up being to give up on the euro and to go back to the lira and other national currencies."

- Roubini writes in the Financial Times . - via Newsmax

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